Forfar Athletic 2-3 Dumbarton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2.99
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
22%
3.46
6+ Goals
12%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Forfar Athletic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dumbarton EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -1%
1.12/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.64
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
156 · 91% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 139 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
3.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Forfar Athletic
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dumbarton
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
06.04.2024 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 0-2 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
10.02.2024 Dumbarton Dumbarton 2-2 HT 2-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
16.12.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-4 HT 2-3 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
19.08.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 3-1 HT 0-1 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
29.03.2023 Dumbarton Dumbarton 0-1 HT 0-0 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic İK2
14.01.2023 Forfar Athletic Forfar Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Dumbarton Dumbarton İK2
POST-MATCH Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dumbarton nicked a narrow win over Forfar Athletic 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Forfar Athletic at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dumbarton led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Forfar Athletic and 2.00 for Dumbarton.

What was the final score of Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Forfar Athletic 2-3 Dumbarton in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Forfar Athletic vs Dumbarton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Forfar Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Forfar Athletic 41%, draw 24%, Dumbarton 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Forfar Athletic) ✗ Under 2.5
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