Osipovichy 1-3 Dnepr Mogilev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
12.23
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
70%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
50%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
5%
+6.8pp
18%
Draw
10%
+7.1pp
71%
Away Win
84%
-14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osipovichy EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev EU Bookmakers 90%
+49% / +49% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.00/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.03
+58% / +137% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
297 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osipovichy
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.67
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.08.2025 Osipovichy Osipovichy 0-2 HT 0-1 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
25.11.2023 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev 1-0 HT 0-0 Osipovichy Osipovichy BLR1
05.08.2023 Osipovichy Osipovichy 2-8 HT 2-5 Dnepr Mogilev Dnepr Mogilev BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osipovichy
1-3
AWAY Dnepr Mogilev
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osipovichy vs Dnepr Mogilev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Mogilev saw off Osipovichy 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dnepr Mogilev as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 7-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dnepr Mogilev led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Osipovichy and 3.67 for Dnepr Mogilev.

What was the final score of Osipovichy vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Osipovichy 1-3 Dnepr Mogilev in the Belarus - Cup on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osipovichy vs Dnepr Mogilev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Mogilev win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Osipovichy 12%, draw 18%, Dnepr Mogilev 71%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Mogilev) ✗ BTTS No
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