Mirassol B 2-1 Gremio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 18 Jul 2026

Mirassol B
2-1 HT 2-0
Gremio
📅18/07/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Serie A – 2026

Mirassol B vs Gremio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
19.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.71 — our 33% vs market 29.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.62
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
15%
4.42
X/2
10%
7.8
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
8%
6.31
2/X
5%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
49%
+1.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirassol B v Gremio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirassol B EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gremio EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
– Crosses 14.6
– Yellow Cards 2.4

Mirassol B 2-1 Gremio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirassol B
2-1
AWAY Gremio
1.43 xG 0.68
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 Passes 374
27 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Mirassol B vs Gremio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Mirassol B edged past Gremio 2-1 in the Brazil - Serie A on 18 Jul 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 43% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.43 to 0.68.

What was the final score of Mirassol B vs Gremio?

Mirassol B 2-1 Gremio in the Brazil - Serie A on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirassol B vs Gremio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol B win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Mirassol B 50%, draw 25%, Gremio 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mirassol B) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mirassol B) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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