18/07/2026
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
31%
Draw
26%
36%
Away Win
34%
49%
Under 2.5
46%
51%
Over 2.5
54%
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
43%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Trans Narva v Parnu JK — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Trans Narva
EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY
Parnu JK
EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-27%
/
-11%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
5
328 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
338 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.5
Yellow Cards
–
Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Trans Narva
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Parnu JK
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
62%
Ball Possession
38%
22
Total Shots
4
8
Shots on Target
1
10
Corners
2
5
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
Trans Narva 3-1 Parnu JK — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Trans Narva
3-1
AWAY
Parnu JK
16
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Target
6
7
Corners
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
POST-MATCH
Trans Narva vs Parnu JK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Trans Narva saw off Parnu JK 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (33% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; Trans Narva found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, shots finished 16-12.
What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Parnu JK?
Trans Narva 3-1 Parnu JK in the Estonia - Premium League on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Parnu JK?
Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 33%, draw 31%, Parnu JK 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parnu JK) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Parnu JK)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →