Trans Narva 3-1 Parnu JK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Cup, 4 Mar 2025

Trans Narva
3-1 HT 1-0
Parnu JK
📅04/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Estonia - Cup – 2025/2026

Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
60%
-9.0pp
30%
Draw
22%
+7.6pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.0pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trans Narva v Parnu JK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-19% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +12%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
416 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards 5.0

Trans Narva 3-1 Parnu JK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
3-1
AWAY Parnu JK
62% Ball Possession 38%
22 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Parnu JK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva saw off Parnu JK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Trans Narva as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Trans Narva had 62% of the ball to Parnu JK's 38%, shots finished 22-4.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Parnu JK?

Trans Narva 3-1 Parnu JK in the Estonia - Cup on 04/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Parnu JK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trans Narva win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 51%, draw 30%, Parnu JK 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trans Narva), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trans Narva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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