Trans Narva 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
40%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.63
No
55%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.4pp
40%
Away Win
31%
+8.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
57%
-12.2pp
55%
BTTS No
43%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.37/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.20
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.07.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
15.06.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
04.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.09.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
08.07.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-4 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
07.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-1
AWAY Parnu JK Vaprus
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva and Parnu JK Vaprus shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 21% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Trans Narva had 54% of the ball to Parnu JK Vaprus's 46%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trans Narva and 1.67 for Parnu JK Vaprus.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Trans Narva 1-1 Parnu JK Vaprus in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Parnu JK Vaprus?

Before kick-off our model rated an Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 39%, draw 21%, Parnu JK Vaprus 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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