Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 Trans Narva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+3.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 34%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.18/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.41
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Trans Narva
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-4 HT 0-2 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
04.05.2024 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
27.09.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 3-2 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
08.07.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-4 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
07.05.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-2 HT 0-2 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus EST1
19.04.2023 Parnu JK Vaprus Parnu JK Vaprus 1-0 HT 1-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parnu JK Vaprus
0-0
AWAY Trans Narva
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parnu JK Vaprus and Trans Narva fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Parnu JK Vaprus at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Parnu JK Vaprus had 70% of the ball to Trans Narva's 30%, shots finished 16-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parnu JK Vaprus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Parnu JK Vaprus and 1.00 for Trans Narva.

What was the final score of Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Parnu JK Vaprus 0-0 Trans Narva in the Estonia - Premium League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parnu JK Vaprus vs Trans Narva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parnu JK Vaprus win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parnu JK Vaprus 42%, draw 23%, Trans Narva 35%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parnu JK Vaprus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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