Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 FC Levadia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 27 Oct 2024

📅27/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+2.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.0pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nomme JK Kalju EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Levadia EU Bookmakers 49%
-14% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.17/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.73
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -30%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Levadia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 1-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
12.05.2024 FC Levadia FC Levadia 0-0 HT 0-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
06.04.2024 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 1-5 HT 1-3 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
28.10.2023 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju 4-3 HT 1-1 FC Levadia FC Levadia EST1
09.07.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 3-0 HT 3-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
28.05.2023 FC Levadia FC Levadia 2-1 HT 2-0 Nomme JK Kalju Nomme JK Kalju EST1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nomme JK Kalju
0-4
AWAY FC Levadia
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 20
7 Shots on Target 11
9 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Levadia cruised past Nomme JK Kalju 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Levadia as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Nomme JK Kalju had 55% of the ball to FC Levadia's 45%, shots finished 12-20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Levadia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nomme JK Kalju and 2.67 for FC Levadia.

What was the final score of Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Nomme JK Kalju 0-4 FC Levadia in the Estonia - Premium League on 27/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nomme JK Kalju vs FC Levadia?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Levadia win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Nomme JK Kalju 27%, draw 25%, FC Levadia 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Levadia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Levadia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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