Bologna 0-4 Arminia Bielefeld — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒13:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.09
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
43%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.15
Over 2.5
64%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
44%
-7.5pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.1pp
43%
Away Win
31%
+11.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
43%
-6.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
57%
+6.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.3pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Arminia Bielefeld EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -70%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arminia Bielefeld swept aside Bologna 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Arminia Bielefeld as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (64%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Bologna 0-4 Arminia Bielefeld in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bologna 37%, draw 21%, Arminia Bielefeld 43%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arminia Bielefeld) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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