Legia Varşova 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 18 Jul 2026

📅18/07/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+1.0pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki EU Bookmakers 25%
-51% / -51% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.25/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-32% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +72% / -43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova squeezed past Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Legia Varşova 2-1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Friendlies on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 55%, draw 21%, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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