18/07/2026
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
1-3
Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
33%
X/X
3%
2/1
3%
2/2
35%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
7%
14%
Draw
14%
76%
Away Win
79%
54%
BTTS Yes
47%
46%
BTTS No
53%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Metta / LU Riga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marupe
EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY
Metta / LU Riga
EU Bookmakers 84%
+14% /
+14%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+15% /
+15%
0.95/1.54
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.32/0.33
-13%
/
+45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-4%
/
+150%
40%
Ball Possession
60%
7
Total Shots
17
2
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
7
238 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
434 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marupe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Metta / LU Riga
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
4.00
The Meetings
FAQ
Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga
Match summary & frequently asked questions
Metta / LU Riga ran out comfortable winners over Marupe 4-0 away from home in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18 Jul 2026.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga?
Marupe 0-4 Metta / LU Riga in the Latvia - 1st Division on 18/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Metta / LU Riga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Marupe 10%, draw 14%, Metta / LU Riga 76%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metta / LU Riga), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Metta / LU Riga)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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More Latvia - 1st Division
18 Jul 2026