Yanbian Longding 1-1 Shanghai Jiading — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.67
Over 2.5
48%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.88
No
41%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.39
6+ Goals
11%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS Yes
49%
+9.5pp
41%
BTTS No
51%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shanghai Jiading EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.03/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/0.44
-15% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +53%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
280 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
15.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.0 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.02 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
317 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
11 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 0-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
28.10.2023 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 3-0 HT 1-0 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading ÇİN2
16.07.2023 Shanghai Jiading Shanghai Jiading 1-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
1-1
AWAY Shanghai Jiading
0.54 xG 0.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
358 Passes 311
84% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Shanghai Jiading
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding and Shanghai Jiading couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 49% of the ball to Shanghai Jiading's 51%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 0.54 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yanbian Longding and 0.33 for Shanghai Jiading.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Shanghai Jiading?

Yanbian Longding 1-1 Shanghai Jiading in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Shanghai Jiading?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 35%, draw 31%, Shanghai Jiading 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/31/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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