Foshan Nanshi 1-2 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
54%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.03
No
60%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.38
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 31.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
54%
Away Win
53%
+0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.8pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 57%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
0.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.36/0.38
-19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +100% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
13.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.4 Crosses 8.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.70 xG 1.07
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
122 Passes 252
55% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 2-0 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing ÇİN2
30.03.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.05.2023 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİNK
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dalian Zhixing nicked a narrow win over Foshan Nanshi 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dalian Zhixing as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dalian Zhixing led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.33 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Zhixing?

Foshan Nanshi 1-2 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 20%, draw 25%, Dalian Zhixing 54%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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