Foshan Nanshi 2-2 Dalian Zhixing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
6.35
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
48%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.67
No
68%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
41%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
14%
5.38
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.27 — our 41% vs market 37.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
13%
+9.0pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.0pp
48%
Away Win
63%
-15.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.7pp
32%
BTTS Yes
33%
-0.9pp
68%
BTTS No
67%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalian Zhixing EU Bookmakers 67%
+25% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+28% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
238 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
12.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.1 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Foshan Nanshi
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.24 xG 0.94
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
143 Passes 266
56% Pass Accuracy 69%
10 Box Touches 30
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-0 HT 1-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
30.05.2023 Dalian Zhixing Dalian Zhixing 1-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİNK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Foshan Nanshi
2-2
AWAY Dalian Zhixing
1.17 xG 1.21
35% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
101 Passes 237
53% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 36
13 Crosses 48
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Zhixing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Foshan Nanshi and Dalian Zhixing shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dalian Zhixing at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Foshan Nanshi had 35% of the ball to Dalian Zhixing's 65%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 1.17 to 1.21.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Dalian Zhixing led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Foshan Nanshi and 1.00 for Dalian Zhixing.

What was the final score of Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Zhixing?

Foshan Nanshi 2-2 Dalian Zhixing in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Foshan Nanshi vs Dalian Zhixing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dalian Zhixing win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Foshan Nanshi 22%, draw 30%, Dalian Zhixing 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dalian Zhixing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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