Jiangxi Beidamen 2-3 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2024

📅05/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
9.57
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
60%
1.26
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.95
Over 2.5
54%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.44
No
58%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.52
2-3 Goals
48%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
7%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
43%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
8%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
17%
+7.1pp
59%
Away Win
75%
-15.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
37%
+5.4pp
58%
BTTS No
63%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jiangxi Beidamen EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 79%
-9% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.80/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.11
-20% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
262 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 83%
10.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.2 Crosses 26.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Jiangxi Beidamen vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun squeezed past Jiangxi Beidamen 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yunnan Yukun as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Jiangxi Beidamen vs Yunnan Yukun?

Jiangxi Beidamen 2-3 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 05/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jiangxi Beidamen vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Jiangxi Beidamen 16%, draw 24%, Yunnan Yukun 59%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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