Sigma Olomouc 3-2 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
39%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
21%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 28% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
45%
-8.6pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sigma Olomouc EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -9%
0.83/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
+11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
304 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 81%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
18.9 Crosses 14.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sigma Olomouc
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.34 xG 3.94
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
218 Passes 301
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
07.10.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
18.03.2023 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 2-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
01.10.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 1-1 HT 1-0 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
13.05.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-1 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc ÇEK
06.05.2022 Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc 1-2 HT 0-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sigma Olomouc
3-2
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 4
224 Passes 249
69% Pass Accuracy 72%
37 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sigma Olomouc nicked a narrow win over Mlada Boleslav 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Sigma Olomouc made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sigma Olomouc had 49% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 51%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sigma Olomouc and 1.17 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav?

Sigma Olomouc 3-2 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sigma Olomouc vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mlada Boleslav win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sigma Olomouc 37%, draw 24%, Mlada Boleslav 39%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mlada Boleslav) ✗ Under 2.5
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