Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

Brentford
2-1 HT 1-0
Crystal Palace
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.98
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
5.78
X/2
10%
5.45
X/X
12%
4.25
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
22%
3.65
2/X
8%
12.6
Value flag · X/1 at 5.78 — our 18% vs market 13.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-4.1pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brentford v Crystal Palace — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brentford EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Crystal Palace EU Bookmakers 40%
-14% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.40/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.15
-16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +44%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.0 Crosses 13.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Brentford vs Crystal Palace Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brentford
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Crystal Palace
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.19 xG 0.77
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
365 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
30.12.2023 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3-1 HT 2-1 Brentford Brentford İNP
26.08.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 1-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
18.02.2023 Brentford Brentford 1-1 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
30.08.2022 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 1-1 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP
12.02.2022 Brentford Brentford 0-0 HT 0-0 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace İNP
21.08.2021 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0-0 HT 0-0 Brentford Brentford İNP

Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brentford
2-1
AWAY Crystal Palace
1.59 xG 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
311 Passes 389
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Brentford vs Crystal Palace
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brentford squeezed past Crystal Palace 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Brentford found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Brentford had 46% of the ball to Crystal Palace's 54%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.59 to 1.17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crystal Palace led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brentford and 1.00 for Crystal Palace.

What was the final score of Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Brentford 2-1 Crystal Palace in the England - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brentford vs Crystal Palace?

Before kick-off our model rated an Crystal Palace win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Brentford 37%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Crystal Palace) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İNP More England - Premier League
18 Aug 2024
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