Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chelsea v Manchester City — Team-Based Signals
Chelsea vs Manchester City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-4
HT 2-2
Manchester City
İNP
1-0
HT 1-0
Chelsea
İNP
4-0
HT 3-0
Chelsea
FAK
Chelsea 0-2 Manchester City — Actual Match Statistics
Manchester City saw off Chelsea 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Manchester City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chelsea had 48% of the ball to Manchester City's 52%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.01 to 0.77.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Manchester City led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chelsea and 2.50 for Manchester City.
What was the final score of Chelsea vs Manchester City?
Chelsea 0-2 Manchester City in the England - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Manchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 28%, draw 24%, Manchester City 48%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.