Assyriska 1-0 Hammarby Talang — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.51
Over 2.5
47%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.43
No
49%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
33%
+6.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
35%
Away Win
43%
-7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
36%
+16.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
64%
-16.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.4pp
49%
BTTS No
34%
+14.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Assyriska EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hammarby Talang EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -8%
1.50/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.34
+3% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 396 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Assyriska
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Hammarby Talang
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 5-0 HT 2-0 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
26.09.2021 Assyriska Assyriska 1-0 HT 0-0 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang İSÇ3
26.04.2021 Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 0-3 HT 0-1 Assyriska Assyriska İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Assyriska
1-0
AWAY Hammarby Talang
44% Ball Possession 56%
18 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Assyriska vs Hammarby Talang
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Assyriska nicked a narrow win over Hammarby Talang 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Assyriska made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Assyriska had 44% of the ball to Hammarby Talang's 56%, shots finished 18-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Assyriska had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Assyriska and 1.67 for Hammarby Talang.

What was the final score of Assyriska vs Hammarby Talang?

Assyriska 1-0 Hammarby Talang in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Assyriska vs Hammarby Talang?

Before kick-off our model rated a Assyriska win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Assyriska 40%, draw 25%, Hammarby Talang 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Assyriska), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Assyriska) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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