Vasalund IF 1-2 Umea FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.6pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vasalund IF EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Umea FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
1.14/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.74
-26% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vasalund IF
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Umea FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.05.2024 Umea FC Umea FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
24.09.2023 Umea FC Umea FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
11.06.2023 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 1-2 HT 1-1 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
11.09.2022 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Umea FC Umea FC İSÇ3
03.04.2022 Umea FC Umea FC 4-0 HT 2-0 Vasalund IF Vasalund IF İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vasalund IF
1-2
AWAY Umea FC
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vasalund IF vs Umea FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Umea FC edged past Vasalund IF 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Umea FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Vasalund IF had 56% of the ball to Umea FC's 44%, shots finished 17-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vasalund IF and 1.60 for Umea FC.

What was the final score of Vasalund IF vs Umea FC?

Vasalund IF 1-2 Umea FC in the Sweden - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vasalund IF vs Umea FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vasalund IF win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Vasalund IF 39%, draw 26%, Umea FC 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Vasalund IF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vasalund IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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