Mjallby 1-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.22
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.64
6+ Goals
12%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 32% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.01
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.85
X/1
13%
5.84
X/2
11%
5.33
X/X
17%
4.42
2/1
8%
31.0
2/2
13%
3.52
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+1.9pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-7.9pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjallby EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -6%
1.28/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.38
+5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
19.1 Crosses 19.5
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjallby
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Elfsborg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.25 xG 1.22
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
317 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Elfsborg Elfsborg 3-1 HT 2-1 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.08.2023 Elfsborg Elfsborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
29.04.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
07.08.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 1-1 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
04.04.2022 Elfsborg Elfsborg 0-2 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
26.09.2021 Mjallby Mjallby 4-0 HT 1-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjallby
1-1
AWAY Elfsborg
1.76 xG 0.98
64% Ball Possession 36%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
385 Passes 166
81% Pass Accuracy 66%
25 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Mjallby vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjallby and Elfsborg couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Mjallby had 64% of the ball to Elfsborg's 36%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.76 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Elfsborg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mjallby and 1.17 for Elfsborg.

What was the final score of Mjallby vs Elfsborg?

Mjallby 1-1 Elfsborg in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjallby vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mjallby 37%, draw 33%, Elfsborg 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mjallby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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