Keflavik 3-1 Dalvik / Reynir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.61
No
41%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-10.9pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.2pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.9pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.8pp
41%
BTTS No
42%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Dalvik / Reynir EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
2.53/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.28
-8% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +22%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
449 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dalvik / Reynir
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.06.2024 Dalvik / Reynir Dalvik / Reynir 0-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs Dalvik / Reynir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik saw off Dalvik / Reynir 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Keflavik as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs Dalvik / Reynir?

Keflavik 3-1 Dalvik / Reynir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs Dalvik / Reynir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keflavik win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 60%, draw 21%, Dalvik / Reynir 19%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keflavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Keflavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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