Thor Akureyri 1-1 Fjölnir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.2pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thor Akureyri EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Fjölnir EU Bookmakers 38%
-7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.46/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.30
-16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thor Akureyri
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fjölnir
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
5 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
15.06.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 1-0 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
14.05.2024 Fjölnir Fjölnir 0-2 HT 0-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZK
10.03.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZLK
02.08.2023 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
26.05.2023 Fjölnir Fjölnir 6-0 HT 3-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL1
15.07.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-4 HT 1-3 Fjölnir Fjölnir İZL1
POST-MATCH Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thor Akureyri and Fjölnir shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fjölnir led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Thor Akureyri and 2.17 for Fjölnir.

What was the final score of Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir?

Thor Akureyri 1-1 Fjölnir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thor Akureyri vs Fjölnir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Thor Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Thor Akureyri 38%, draw 28%, Fjölnir 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Thor Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Thor Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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