KA Akureyri 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.0pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.5pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.66/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.70
-10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +35%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
271 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 72%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
28.7 Crosses 14.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.68 xG 2.25
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
290 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 37
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 5-0 HT 2-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
26.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
23.10.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
21.08.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-4 HT 2-3 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
21.05.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.48 xG 2.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 7
254 Passes 416
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 33
37 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri and Stjarnan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was KA Akureyri at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 43% of the ball to Stjarnan's 57%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 1.48 to 2.20.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.33 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

KA Akureyri 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 47%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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