Stjarnan 5-0 KA Akureyri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
52%
+1.2pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.5pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
2.35/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.43
+6% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
376 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 73%
31.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.0 Crosses 20.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY KA Akureyri
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.92 xG 0.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
369 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.06.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
23.10.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-3 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
21.08.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-4 HT 2-3 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
21.05.2022 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 0-2 HT 0-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
15.08.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stjarnan
5-0
AWAY KA Akureyri
2.57 xG 0.73
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 18
9 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 7
328 Passes 296
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
44 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan cruised past KA Akureyri 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stjarnan as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Stjarnan had 52% of the ball to KA Akureyri's 48%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 2.57 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stjarnan and 1.83 for KA Akureyri.

What was the final score of Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?

Stjarnan 5-0 KA Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan vs KA Akureyri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan 54%, draw 23%, KA Akureyri 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İZL More Iceland - Urvalsdeild
26 May 2024
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