Fram Reykjavik 1-4 Breidablik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 26 May 2024

📅26/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+8.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.4pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Breidablik EU Bookmakers 56%
+12% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -11%
1.72/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/2.46
+38% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
21.6 Crosses 23.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Breidablik
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.73 xG 2.75
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
215 Passes 564
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
18 Box Touches 42
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-1 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
28.04.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 5-4 HT 3-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
22.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
22.05.2022 Breidablik Breidablik 4-3 HT 2-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
18.08.2014 Breidablik Breidablik 3-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
22.05.2014 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-4
AWAY Breidablik
0.93 xG 2.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 11
275 Passes 512
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 43
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik swept aside Fram Reykjavik 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 38% of the ball to Breidablik's 62%, shots finished 10-21, expected goals 0.93 to 2.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 2.67 for Breidablik.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

Fram Reykjavik 1-4 Breidablik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Breidablik?

Before kick-off our model rated an Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 33%, draw 25%, Breidablik 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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