Erzgebirge Aue U19 0-2 RB Leipzig U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
5.09
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
50%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.63
Over 2.5
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
16%
+8.3pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.1pp
51%
Away Win
64%
-13.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzgebirge Aue U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 69%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -39%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.8
Crosses 21.5
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzgebirge Aue U19
0-2
AWAY RB Leipzig U19
40% Ball Possession 60%
4 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs RB Leipzig U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 saw off Erzgebirge Aue U19 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RB Leipzig U19 as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Erzgebirge Aue U19 had 40% of the ball to RB Leipzig U19's 60%, shots finished 4-14.

What was the final score of Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Erzgebirge Aue U19 0-2 RB Leipzig U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzgebirge Aue U19 vs RB Leipzig U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Erzgebirge Aue U19 25%, draw 25%, RB Leipzig U19 51%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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