Hertha BSC U19 2-3 Chemnitzer FC U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.68
Over 2.5
64%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
64%
-5.3pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.6pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.0pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha BSC U19 EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC U19 EU Bookmakers 21%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.45/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+7% / +113% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +135%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha BSC U19
2-3
AWAY Chemnitzer FC U19
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hertha BSC U19 vs Chemnitzer FC U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC U19 nicked a narrow win over Hertha BSC U19 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Hertha BSC U19 carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hertha BSC U19 had 53% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC U19's 47%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of Hertha BSC U19 vs Chemnitzer FC U19?

Hertha BSC U19 2-3 Chemnitzer FC U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha BSC U19 vs Chemnitzer FC U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha BSC U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hertha BSC U19 59%, draw 18%, Chemnitzer FC U19 23%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha BSC U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha BSC U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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