MSV Duisburg U19 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.09
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
17%
+7.2pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.3pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-7.6pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+2.8pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.0pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 EU Bookmakers 67%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg U19
1-3
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 beat MSV Duisburg U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, MSV Duisburg U19 had 33% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf U19's 67%, shots finished 8-24.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19?

MSV Duisburg U19 1-3 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg U19 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg U19 24%, draw 20%, Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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