Atletico Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
28%
2.83
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.38
Over 2.5
40%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.33
No
57%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
1.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.87
4-5 Goals
17%
7.07
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.57
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.4
X/1
21%
4.52
X/2
9%
6.01
X/X
14%
3.21
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.3
2/X
6%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.4pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.5pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
69%
-9.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
31%
+9.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
39%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
61%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Estudiantes EU Bookmakers 32%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.33/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.08
+0% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
21.8 Crosses 17.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Estudiantes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.27 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
256 Passes 310
68% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2023 Estudiantes Estudiantes 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
26.09.2022 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 3-1 HT 1-1 Estudiantes Estudiantes ARJ
21.10.2021 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
30.11.2019 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
21.10.2018 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
26.11.2017 Estudiantes Estudiantes 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2-0
AWAY Estudiantes
1.33 xG 0.49
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 8
191 Passes 314
66% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Estudiantes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Tucuman beat Estudiantes 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico Tucuman as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 41% of the ball to Estudiantes's 59%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.33 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 0.83 for Estudiantes.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Estudiantes?

Atletico Tucuman 2-0 Estudiantes in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Estudiantes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 43%, draw 28%, Estudiantes 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Tucuman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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