Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boca Juniors v San Lorenzo — Team-Based Signals
Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Boca Juniors
ARJ
1-0
HT 1-0
Boca Juniors
ARJ
2-1
HT 1-1
Boca Juniors
ARJ
0-2
HT 0-1
San Lorenzo
ARJ
0-2
HT 0-1
Boca Juniors
ARJ
Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo — Actual Match Statistics
Boca Juniors edged past San Lorenzo 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boca Juniors had 57% of the ball to San Lorenzo's 43%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.00 to 1.97 — on chances, San Lorenzo could feel hard done by.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, San Lorenzo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boca Juniors and 1.17 for San Lorenzo.
What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo in the Argentina - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs San Lorenzo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 48%, draw 29%, San Lorenzo 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.