St. Pölten 1-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

St. Pölten
1-1 HT 0-0
Amstetten
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

St. Pölten vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.53
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.9
6+ Goals
12%
8.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.58
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
4.65
X/2
16%
7.49
X/X
10%
5.62
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.85
2/2
12%
4.98
2/X
7%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 10% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.8pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.54/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.67
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
13.0 Crosses 13.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

St. Pölten vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Amstetten
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.03.2024 St. Pölten St. Pölten 3-1 HT 2-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
01.09.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
11.11.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-4 HT 0-3 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
30.09.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-3 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
15.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
24.09.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten and Amstetten shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pölten at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for St. Pölten and 1.00 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Amstetten?

St. Pölten 1-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 42%, draw 24%, Amstetten 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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