St. Pölten 3-1 Amstetten — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

St. Pölten
3-1 HT 2-0
Amstetten
📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2023/2024

St. Pölten vs Amstetten Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
3.89
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 24% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.95
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
16.25
X/1
19%
3.76
X/2
8%
11.15
X/X
11%
5.85
2/1
9%
21.85
2/2
10%
8.58
2/X
6%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

St. Pölten v Amstetten — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Amstetten EU Bookmakers 21%
-9% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +7%
0.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.25
-27% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
396 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
26.0 Crosses 13.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

St. Pölten vs Amstetten Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Amstetten
2.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
11.11.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 0-4 HT 0-3 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
30.09.2022 St. Pölten St. Pölten 2-3 HT 1-1 Amstetten Amstetten AU2
15.04.2022 Amstetten Amstetten 2-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
24.09.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 4-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2

St. Pölten 3-1 Amstetten — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pölten
3-1
AWAY Amstetten
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 10
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Amstetten
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten saw off Amstetten 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, St. Pölten had 37% of the ball to Amstetten's 63%, shots finished 9-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.40 goals for St. Pölten and 1.00 for Amstetten.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Amstetten?

St. Pölten 3-1 Amstetten in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Amstetten?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 52%, draw 25%, Amstetten 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ BTTS Yes
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