Leoben 0-0 Kapfenberger SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.14
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.74
6+ Goals
9%
15.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.32
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.8
X/1
17%
3.98
X/2
7%
8.75
X/X
11%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
24.45
2/2
11%
6.96
2/X
9%
15.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 7% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
22%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leoben EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kapfenberger SV EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +19%
1.81/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.60
-4% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
313 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
Crosses 15.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leoben
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Kapfenberger SV
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
03.09.2023 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 2-1 HT 1-1 Leoben Leoben AU2
15.04.2008 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-0 HT 1-0 Leoben Leoben AU2
21.03.2008 Leoben Leoben 1-1 HT 0-1 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
29.09.2007 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 4-2 HT 1-1 Leoben Leoben AU2
13.04.2007 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV 1-1 HT 0-0 Leoben Leoben AU2
01.12.2006 Leoben Leoben 3-3 HT 0-2 Kapfenberger SV Kapfenberger SV AU2
POST-MATCH Leoben vs Kapfenberger SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leoben and Kapfenberger SV played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leoben at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kapfenberger SV led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Leoben and 2.00 for Kapfenberger SV.

What was the final score of Leoben vs Kapfenberger SV?

Leoben 0-0 Kapfenberger SV in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leoben vs Kapfenberger SV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leoben win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leoben 48%, draw 29%, Kapfenberger SV 24%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leoben) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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