Ried 0-1 Grazer AK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
13%
12.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.74
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
11%
4.54
X/2
12%
7.09
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
8%
24.45
2/2
10%
5.12
2/X
7%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ried EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 31%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
3.42/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.80/1.30
+22% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 73%
36.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.0
19.8 Crosses 39.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ried
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Grazer AK
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2023 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-0 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
10.06.2020 Grazer AK Grazer AK 4-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
23.08.2019 Ried Ried 1-2 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AU2
18.11.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-2 HT 2-1 Ried Ried AVU
09.09.2006 Ried Ried 1-1 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
22.04.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-4 HT 1-3 Ried Ried AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ried
0-1
AWAY Grazer AK
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ried vs Grazer AK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK squeezed past Ried 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Ried at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ried had 67% of the ball to Grazer AK's 33%, shots finished 17-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grazer AK led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ried and 1.83 for Grazer AK.

What was the final score of Ried vs Grazer AK?

Ried 0-1 Grazer AK in the Austria - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ried vs Grazer AK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ried win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Ried 47%, draw 24%, Grazer AK 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ried) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AU2 More Austria - 1st Division
29 Mar 2024
20:10 St. Pölten vs Amstetten Analysis →
20:10 Leoben vs Kapfenberger SV Analysis →