Rochedale Rovers 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.04
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.96
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
16%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
28%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
21%
-1.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
60%
Away Win
58%
+1.5pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.1pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochedale Rovers EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 62%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.62/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.67/0.34
+29% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
210 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochedale Rovers
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
19.05.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 2-0 Rochedale Rovers Rochedale Rovers AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior beat Rochedale Rovers 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

What was the final score of Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Rochedale Rovers 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochedale Rovers vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Rochedale Rovers 20%, draw 21%, Moreton City Excelsior 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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