Valentine Phoenix 1-2 Charlestown City Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
50%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.51
Over 2.5
45%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
22%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
28%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
36%
+19.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
64%
-19.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.5pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 54%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.29/2.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/1.12
-15% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +22%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valentine Phoenix
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Charlestown City Blues
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
10.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
12.03.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
21.08.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 0-4 HT 0-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
08.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-4 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
06.06.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-3 HT 0-3 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
POST-MATCH Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues nicked a narrow win over Valentine Phoenix 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Charlestown City Blues as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Valentine Phoenix and 2.33 for Charlestown City Blues.

What was the final score of Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues?

Valentine Phoenix 1-2 Charlestown City Blues in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valentine Phoenix vs Charlestown City Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated an Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Valentine Phoenix 23%, draw 26%, Charlestown City Blues 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlestown City Blues), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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