Charlestown City Blues 3-0 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.7pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlestown City Blues EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 32%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +39% / +39%
1.69/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.34/1.20
-15% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +45%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 365 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlestown City Blues
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
10.06.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
12.03.2023 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 3-0 HT 2-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
21.08.2022 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 0-4 HT 0-2 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
08.06.2022 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-4 HT 0-1 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
06.06.2021 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-3 HT 0-3 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues AVNPL
02.05.2021 Charlestown City Blues Charlestown City Blues 0-0 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
POST-MATCH Charlestown City Blues vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlestown City Blues ran out comfortable winners over Valentine Phoenix 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlestown City Blues as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlestown City Blues had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Charlestown City Blues and 0.67 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Charlestown City Blues vs Valentine Phoenix?

Charlestown City Blues 3-0 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlestown City Blues vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlestown City Blues win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Charlestown City Blues 41%, draw 26%, Valentine Phoenix 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlestown City Blues), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Charlestown City Blues) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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