Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Gold Coast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 May 2024

Brisbane Roar II
1-1 HT 0-1
Gold Coast United
📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.63
Over 2.5
56%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.39
No
49%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-4.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
34%
+9.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
66%
-9.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
68%
-16.5pp
49%
BTTS No
32%
+16.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar II v Gold Coast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast United EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.41/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.62
-27% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
303 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
10.0 Crosses 28.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Gold Coast United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.65 xG 1.81
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 Passes 260
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.06.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-0 HT 0-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVNPL
04.03.2023 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
29.05.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-2 HT 1-2 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
04.05.2022 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 6-1 HT 3-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
06.09.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 3-0 HT 1-0 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United AVSQ
23.05.2021 Gold Coast United Gold Coast United 2-3 HT 2-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II and Gold Coast United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar II had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 1.67 for Gold Coast United.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast United?

Brisbane Roar II 1-1 Gold Coast United in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Gold Coast United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 36%, draw 24%, Gold Coast United 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast United), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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