Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 Sydney II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 4-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
14%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
4.0
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
22%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
79%
-11.5pp
19%
Draw
11%
+8.0pp
14%
Away Win
10%
+3.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.2pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-4.9pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rockdale Ilinden EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Sydney II EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -2%
1.99/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.88
-7% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -26%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
408 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.3 Crosses 9.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rockdale Ilinden
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sydney II
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.10 xG 1.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 308
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.08.2023 Sydney II Sydney II 2-2 HT 1-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
07.05.2023 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 4-2 HT 2-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
24.07.2022 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 2-1 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
08.05.2022 Sydney II Sydney II 3-4 HT 0-3 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
09.05.2021 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden 4-1 HT 1-0 Sydney II Sydney II AVNPL
06.07.2019 Sydney II Sydney II 3-1 HT 0-1 Rockdale Ilinden Rockdale Ilinden AVNPL
POST-MATCH Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rockdale Ilinden saw off Sydney II 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rockdale Ilinden as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rockdale Ilinden had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Rockdale Ilinden and 2.00 for Sydney II.

What was the final score of Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney II?

Rockdale Ilinden 3-1 Sydney II in the Australia - National Premier League on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rockdale Ilinden vs Sydney II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rockdale Ilinden win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Rockdale Ilinden 68%, draw 19%, Sydney II 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rockdale Ilinden) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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