Newcastle Olympic 3-1 Lake Macquarie — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒07:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.16
Draw
19%
7.78
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
30%
X/2
3%
X/X
3%
2/1
4%
2/2
6%
2/X
14%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
82%
-14.9pp
19%
Draw
10%
+8.8pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.0pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Lake Macquarie EU Bookmakers 9%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
3.22/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/4.44
-23% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Newcastle Olympic
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Lake Macquarie
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
59% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.07.2024 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-4 HT 0-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNSW
27.05.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 5-2 HT 3-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNSW
11.03.2023 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-2 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
26.06.2022 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 2-3 HT 2-2 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
05.04.2022 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-1 HT 0-0 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie AVNPL
10.07.2021 Lake Macquarie Lake Macquarie 1-3 HT 1-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Newcastle Olympic vs Lake Macquarie
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newcastle Olympic got the better of Lake Macquarie 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newcastle Olympic as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle Olympic had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Newcastle Olympic and 1.33 for Lake Macquarie.

What was the final score of Newcastle Olympic vs Lake Macquarie?

Newcastle Olympic 3-1 Lake Macquarie in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle Olympic vs Lake Macquarie?

Before kick-off our model rated a Newcastle Olympic win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Olympic 68%, draw 19%, Lake Macquarie 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newcastle Olympic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newcastle Olympic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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