Gold Coast Knights 5-0 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.39
No
51%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.2pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
68%
-18.8pp
51%
BTTS No
32%
+18.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.85/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.35
-4% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +55%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.3 Crosses 14.3
3.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gold Coast Knights
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Queensland Lions
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.59 xG 1.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
21 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 0-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
13.08.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
06.05.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
26.06.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
19.03.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-6 HT 2-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
26.06.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gold Coast Knights swept aside Queensland Lions 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gold Coast Knights as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gold Coast Knights and 1.33 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Gold Coast Knights 5-0 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gold Coast Knights vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gold Coast Knights 42%, draw 22%, Queensland Lions 36%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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