Queensland Lions 1-1 Gold Coast Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 May 2024

📅18/05/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.59
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.1pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gold Coast Knights EU Bookmakers 46%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.09/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.31
-65% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / +40%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses 19.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Gold Coast Knights
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.86 xG 1.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 330
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
06.05.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVNPL
26.06.2022 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 1-1 HT 1-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
19.03.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-6 HT 2-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
26.06.2021 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
06.03.2021 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-2 HT 1-1 Gold Coast Knights Gold Coast Knights AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions and Gold Coast Knights shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.83 for Gold Coast Knights.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?

Queensland Lions 1-1 Gold Coast Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Gold Coast Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gold Coast Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 34%, draw 28%, Gold Coast Knights 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gold Coast Knights), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gold Coast Knights) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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