Rapid Wien 2-0 Swarovski Tirol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
21%
4.49
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.88
6+ Goals
12%
8.21
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.58 — our 26% vs market 17.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.64
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.5
X/1
18%
3.56
X/2
9%
15.65
X/X
9%
7.1
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
8%
12.0
2/X
6%
20.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-11.9pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.3pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.9pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 16%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
2.15/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.27
-5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 69%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
23.0 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Wien
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.41 xG 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
294 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
30 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.12.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
27.08.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 1-1 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
12.03.2023 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
18.10.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-4 HT 1-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AUK
01.10.2022 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-5 HT 0-1 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien AVU
29.05.2022 Rapid Wien Rapid Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Wien
2-0
AWAY Swarovski Tirol
2.66 xG 0.51
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 0
11 Corners 5
513 Passes 302
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
42 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rapid Wien vs Swarovski Tirol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien saw off Swarovski Tirol 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rapid Wien had 62% of the ball to Swarovski Tirol's 38%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.66 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Wien had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Rapid Wien and 0.50 for Swarovski Tirol.

What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Rapid Wien 2-0 Swarovski Tirol in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Swarovski Tirol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 56%, draw 21%, Swarovski Tirol 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
18 Aug 2024
18:00 Hartberg vs Austria Wien Analysis →
18:00 Rheindorf Altach vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →