Hartberg 1-1 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.53
No
43%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.93
6+ Goals
15%
8.62
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.7
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
20%
6.01
X/2
6%
5.63
X/X
10%
5.22
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
24%
3.38
2/X
6%
12.35
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.8pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+2.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
39%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.42/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.28
-16% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +15%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
18.5 Crosses 19.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.58 xG 1.86
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
325 Passes 322
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2024 Hartberg Hartberg 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
24.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.02.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
17.09.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
11.09.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
1-1
AWAY Austria Wien
1.98 xG 1.21
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 Passes 293
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hartberg and Austria Wien shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (60%) missed.

On the day, Hartberg had 53% of the ball to Austria Wien's 47%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.98 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hartberg and 2.17 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Wien?

Hartberg 1-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 37%, draw 23%, Austria Wien 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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