Austria Wien 2-1 Hartberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.23
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.64
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.23 — our 30% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.07
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.82
X/2
10%
6.5
X/X
19%
4.53
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.67
2/X
6%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.0pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hartberg EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.55
+23% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 73%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
17.5 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Hartberg
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.73 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
334 Passes 296
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.02.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
17.09.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
11.09.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.02.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
26.09.2021 Hartberg Hartberg 3-4 HT 2-3 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-1
AWAY Hartberg
2.71 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
263 Passes 447
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Hartberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien edged past Hartberg 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Austria Wien made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 40% of the ball to Hartberg's 60%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.71 to 1.63.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Austria Wien and 1.00 for Hartberg.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Austria Wien 2-1 Hartberg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Hartberg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 39%, draw 30%, Hartberg 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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