Hartberg 0-1 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 28 May 2024

Hartberg
0-1 HT 0-1
Austria Wien
📅28/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hartberg vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.62
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
23%
2.86
6+ Goals
15%
8.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.39
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.6
X/1
12%
5.67
X/2
18%
5.92
X/X
11%
5.43
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
22%
3.6
2/X
5%
12.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
39%
-7.4pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.1pp
47%
Away Win
36%
+10.5pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hartberg v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hartberg EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +10%
1.50/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.32
+5% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
18.3 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Hartberg vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hartberg
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.45 xG 2.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
325 Passes 342
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.05.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
10.02.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-1 HT 1-1 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
17.09.2023 Hartberg Hartberg 2-1 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
25.02.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 3-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU
11.09.2022 Hartberg Hartberg 0-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
19.02.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-0 HT 1-0 Hartberg Hartberg AVU

Hartberg 0-1 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hartberg
0-1
AWAY Austria Wien
1.47 xG 0.94
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
407 Passes 182
79% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hartberg vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien edged past Hartberg 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hartberg had 65% of the ball to Austria Wien's 35%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.47 to 0.94 — on chances, Hartberg could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hartberg and 2.33 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Hartberg vs Austria Wien?

Hartberg 0-1 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 28/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hartberg vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hartberg 32%, draw 22%, Austria Wien 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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