RFC Liege 0-3 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

RFC Liege
0-3 HT 0-2
AS Eupen
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Belgium - 1st Division – 2024/2025

RFC Liege vs AS Eupen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.18
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
45%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.1
Over 2.5
58%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.56
No
44%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.08
2-3 Goals
33%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
6+ Goals
13%
9.82
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.3pp
45%
Away Win
32%
+12.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-1.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+1.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.9pp
44%
BTTS No
40%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

RFC Liege v AS Eupen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 36%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.46/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.50
+69% / +110% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
27.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.6 Crosses –
1.2 Yellow Cards –

RFC Liege 0-3 AS Eupen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RFC Liege
0-3
AWAY AS Eupen
0.69 xG 4.02
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
240 Passes 320
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH RFC Liege vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Eupen cruised past RFC Liege 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had AS Eupen as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

On the day, RFC Liege had 45% of the ball to AS Eupen's 55%, shots finished 12-22, expected goals 0.69 to 4.02.

What was the final score of RFC Liege vs AS Eupen?

RFC Liege 0-3 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RFC Liege vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split RFC Liege 34%, draw 21%, AS Eupen 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AS Eupen), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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