SV Zulte Waregem 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
5.31
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
23%
2.69
6+ Goals
11%
6.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.31 — our 25% vs market 14.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
64%
-9.5pp
25%
Draw
20%
+4.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.3pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SV Zulte Waregem EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 20%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.83/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.47
-50% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -14%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
33.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
27.9 Crosses 19.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.86 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 1
420 Passes 286
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.12.2023 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 0-1 HT 0-0 SV Zulte Waregem SV Zulte Waregem BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SV Zulte Waregem
0-1
AWAY Lierse Kempenzonen
0.69 xG 0.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
466 Passes 199
87% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 12
39 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SV Zulte Waregem vs Lierse Kempenzonen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen squeezed past SV Zulte Waregem 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was SV Zulte Waregem at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SV Zulte Waregem had 63% of the ball to Lierse Kempenzonen's 37%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.69 to 0.45.

What was the final score of SV Zulte Waregem vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

SV Zulte Waregem 0-1 Lierse Kempenzonen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SV Zulte Waregem vs Lierse Kempenzonen?

Before kick-off our model rated a SV Zulte Waregem win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split SV Zulte Waregem 54%, draw 25%, Lierse Kempenzonen 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SV Zulte Waregem) ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
18 Aug 2024
14:30 Boussu Dour Borinage vs La Louvière Analysis →
17:00 RFC Liege vs AS Eupen Analysis →