Baglan Dragons 0-2 Ammanford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-11.7pp
32%
Draw
23%
+9.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.6pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baglan Dragons EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ammanford EU Bookmakers 34%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
2.29/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.51
+19% / +127% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
349 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baglan Dragons
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Ammanford
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
17.02.2024 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 1-3 HT 0-2 Ammanford Ammanford GALFAW
08.12.2023 Ammanford Ammanford 2-2 HT 1-1 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons GALFAW
POST-MATCH Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ammanford beat Baglan Dragons 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 33%) promised a tight game; Ammanford found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ammanford led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baglan Dragons and 2.50 for Ammanford.

What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford?

Baglan Dragons 0-2 Ammanford in the Wales - FAW Championship on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baglan Dragons vs Ammanford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baglan Dragons win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Baglan Dragons 35%, draw 32%, Ammanford 33%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baglan Dragons) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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